Does today’s oral argument before the Supreme Court in the Halliburton case provide any clues regarding the Court’s likely decision? (For background regarding the case, see yesterday’s post.)
Not necessarily.
“Court-watchers” are often quick to predict a case’s outcome based on the argument—and are very often wrong. Remember the health care law that was certain to be declared unconstitutional, except it actually was upheld? (I’ve had a similar experience. After my argument on behalf of the petitioner in AT&T Mobility v. Concepcion, a number of press reports confidently predicted that Justice Scalia was going to vote “against the
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